Nu atacati reducerea CAS, atacati masurile care ii anuleaza efectele

IMF despre RO in 2006:

• The flat tax fueled consumption and led to about 1 percent of GDP revenue loss in personal income and profit tax collections, compared with the 2004 outturn. However, compared to the baseline of no tax cut, this loss was about 1½ percent of GDP.

• Higher-than-budgeted VAT collections due to the strong demand for goods and services (domestic and imported) offset the loss of revenue from the flat tax, thus keeping the overall government revenue constant in terms of GDP.

IAR DEFICITUL BUGETAR :

-The reduction in the fiscal deficit to 0.8 percent of GDP in 2005 from 1.1 percent of GDP in 2004 was aided by higher-than-budgeted indirect tax collections, along with cuts in capital expenditure that offset the sharp increase in public consumption.

Totusi FMI care nu intelege economia de piata si este cel mai bun partener al economistilor (majoritatea) si politicienilor romani propunea in acelasi document:

-The following menu of options could be considered: an increase in the VAT, revisiting the rate of the flat tax, broadening the tax base, increasing administrative fees, increasing property taxes, and improving revenue administration.

Asta pentru ca politicienii romani deja :

-From October 2004 to October 2005, public sector wages rose by up to 50 percent. Increases in the average public sector wages were in the range of 16-34 percent in 2005 compared with the average of 2004, thus contributing to an increase in the wage bill by 0.6 percentage points of GDP in 2005.

Concluzia:
Reducerea CAS este un lucru bun si nu trebuie irosit. Presiunea din partea opozitiei ar trebui sa fie pe acele masuri care submineaza efectul reducerii CAS. De exemplu: cresterea salariului minim, taxe pe constructii speciale, cheltuielli cu salarii in sectorul public,cheltuieli cu bunuri si servicii, accize etc.

sursa : FMI – Romania—2006 Article IV Consultation Discussions Preliminary Conclusions of the Mission