Money Matters, Romania’s case

This is my contribution to today’s seminar at the National Bank of Romania: Money Supply and Inflation.
My main conclusion is that much like the FED in the 30s the NBR misjudged the effect of the economic crisis and the stance of the economy and tighten monetary policy. The result was recession and short circuiting of the credit channel. I attribute the wrong assessment to too much reliance on the output gap and too many objectives besides stable prices – stable exchange rate and financial stability. Continue reading “Money Matters, Romania’s case”