Current way of injecting liquidity will not lower long term rates

NBR delivered another rate cut today from 5.75% to 5..5%. It is the third consecutive cut in the key rate and a good moment to see how has this easing cycle transferred into the real economy. The main question is if these rate cuts get to the real economy. As you will see not immediately and definitely not via lower interest rates.
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Should we save the RON?

In my last post I was arguing mostly from a theoretical point of view that Inflation Targeting has failed in Romania. To be fair it was never been given a fair chance. Two years into implementing the regime the NBR decided not target inflation but the exchange rate .  One perverse result from this in an economy with historically high inflation and no growth is dominance of local currency by ones from countries with economic growth and low inflation. In other words the central bank has implicitly subsidized the dominance of EUR by undermining RON.
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